Matanuska-Susitna Borough

Alaska — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

93.3

National percentile: 93th

Matanuska-Susitna Borough faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 93.3, 93th national percentile), driven primarily by avalanche and earthquake exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $161M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $161M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 107K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Avalanche
Very High $15M/yr
Earthquake
High $131M/yr
Landslide
Medium $304K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Avalanche Very High 1.33 / yr $15M
Earthquake High 0.20 / yr $131M
Landslide Medium 91.40 / yr $304K
Wildfire Medium 0.00 / yr $4M
Winter Weather High 11.16 / yr $620K
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.02 / yr $915
Cold Wave Low 4.02 / yr $2M
Lightning Low 17.98 / yr $329K
Riverine Flood Low 0.01 / yr $8M
Ice Storm Very Low 0.01 / yr $14K
Tsunami Very Low 0.30 / yr $56K
Hail Very Low 0.01 / yr $8K
Tornado Very Low 0.00 / yr $7
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.01 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 1.14 / yr $0
Heat Wave Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Strong Wind Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Matanuska-Susitna Borough?

Matanuska-Susitna Borough has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 93.3 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 93th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Matanuska-Susitna Borough?

The three highest-rated hazards are Avalanche (Very High, $15M EAL), Earthquake (High, $131M EAL), Landslide (Medium, $304K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Matanuska-Susitna Borough compare to other Alaska counties?

Matanuska-Susitna Borough ranks #2 of 30 Alaska counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Matanuska-Susitna Borough's $161M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.