Baca County
Colorado — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
Very LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 23th
Baca County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 23.2, 23th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $5M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Drought | High | 138.14 / yr | $2M |
| Wildfire | Low | 0.00 / yr | $255K |
| Hail | Low | 4.26 / yr | $345K |
| Strong Wind | Medium | 1.67 / yr | $489K |
| Lightning | Medium | 46.31 / yr | $185K |
| Winter Weather | Low | 8.47 / yr | $38K |
| Cold Wave | Low | 1.74 / yr | $356K |
| Tornado | Low | 1.28 / yr | $235K |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | 0.08 / yr | $14K |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $16K |
| Riverine Flood | Very Low | 0.36 / yr | $546K |
| Landslide | Very Low | 0.30 / yr | $5 |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 0.11 / yr | $2K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Baca County?
Baca County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 23.2 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 23th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Baca County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (High, $2M EAL), Wildfire (Low, $255K EAL), Hail (Low, $345K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Baca County compare to other Colorado counties?
Baca County ranks #41 of 64 Colorado counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Baca County's $5M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.