Chaffee County

Colorado — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

51.1

National percentile: 51th

Chaffee County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 51.1, 51th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and avalanche exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $20M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $20M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 19K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Landslide
Medium $489K/yr
Avalanche
Very High $5M/yr
Lightning
High $1M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Medium 0.59 / yr $489K
Avalanche Very High 0.30 / yr $5M
Lightning High 58.29 / yr $1M
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $236K
Riverine Flood Low 0.64 / yr $13M
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $183K
Hail Low 1.08 / yr $211K
Winter Weather Low 22.76 / yr $51K
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $5
Drought Very Low 40.92 / yr $32K
Tornado Very Low 0.06 / yr $125K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.01 / yr $6K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.04 / yr $14K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.64 / yr $27K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.13 / yr $38K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Chaffee County?

Chaffee County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 51.1 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 51th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Chaffee County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Medium, $489K EAL), Avalanche (Very High, $5M EAL), Lightning (High, $1M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Chaffee County compare to other Colorado counties?

Chaffee County ranks #21 of 64 Colorado counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Chaffee County's $20M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.