Holmes County

Florida — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

49.4

National percentile: 49th

Holmes County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 49.4, 49th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and lightning exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $14M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $14M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 20K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Hurricane
Medium $9M/yr
Lightning
Medium $318K/yr
Tornado
Low $1M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hurricane Medium 0.21 / yr $9M
Lightning Medium 78.44 / yr $318K
Tornado Low 0.42 / yr $1M
Drought Low 25.15 / yr $89K
Heat Wave Low 5.85 / yr $227K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $15K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $80K
Cold Wave Low 2.06 / yr $339K
Riverine Flood Very Low 1.00 / yr $3M
Strong Wind Low 1.69 / yr $157K
Landslide Very Low 0.08 / yr $36
Winter Weather Very Low 0.37 / yr $6K
Hail Very Low 1.04 / yr $15K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.02 / yr $2K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.01 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Holmes County?

Holmes County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 49.4 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 49th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Holmes County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (Medium, $9M EAL), Lightning (Medium, $318K EAL), Tornado (Low, $1M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Holmes County compare to other Florida counties?

Holmes County ranks #53 of 67 Florida counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Holmes County's $14M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.