Leon County
Florida — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
MediumComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 93th
Leon County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 93.4, 93th national percentile), driven primarily by cold wave and hurricane exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $143M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Cold Wave | High | 1.42 / yr | $24M |
| Hurricane | High | 0.26 / yr | $43M |
| Tornado | High | 0.37 / yr | $19M |
| Heat Wave | Medium | 6.58 / yr | $4M |
| Strong Wind | High | 1.27 / yr | $2M |
| Riverine Flood | Medium | 1.68 / yr | $47M |
| Wildfire | Medium | 0.00 / yr | $1M |
| Lightning | Medium | 80.74 / yr | $618K |
| Earthquake | Low | 0.00 / yr | $718K |
| Landslide | Low | 0.11 / yr | $3K |
| Winter Weather | Low | 0.21 / yr | $75K |
| Hail | Low | 0.88 / yr | $225K |
| Drought | Very Low | 19.23 / yr | $22K |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.01 / yr | $1K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Leon County?
Leon County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 93.4 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 93th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Leon County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Cold Wave (High, $24M EAL), Hurricane (High, $43M EAL), Tornado (High, $19M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Leon County compare to other Florida counties?
Leon County ranks #24 of 67 Florida counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Leon County's $143M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.