Canyon County

Idaho — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

71.7

National percentile: 72th

Canyon County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 71.7, 72th national percentile), driven primarily by winter weather and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $36M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $36M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 231K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Winter Weather
Very High $1M/yr
Wildfire
Medium $2M/yr
Heat Wave
Medium $3M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Winter Weather Very High 8.26 / yr $1M
Wildfire Medium 0.00 / yr $2M
Heat Wave Medium 4.53 / yr $3M
Lightning High 17.83 / yr $1M
Riverine Flood Medium 0.39 / yr $24M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $2M
Ice Storm Medium 0.09 / yr $323K
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $110
Strong Wind Medium 0.34 / yr $1M
Hail Low 0.25 / yr $273K
Landslide Very Low 0.06 / yr $420
Cold Wave Low 0.05 / yr $414K
Drought Very Low 17.43 / yr $6K
Tornado Very Low 0.03 / yr $300K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $3
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Canyon County?

Canyon County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 71.7 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 72th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Canyon County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Winter Weather (Very High, $1M EAL), Wildfire (Medium, $2M EAL), Heat Wave (Medium, $3M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Canyon County compare to other Idaho counties?

Canyon County ranks #6 of 44 Idaho counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Canyon County's $36M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.