Jerome County

Idaho — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

21.5

National percentile: 21th

Jerome County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 21.5, 21th national percentile), driven primarily by wildfire and winter weather exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $6M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $6M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 24K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Wildfire
Medium $1M/yr
Winter Weather
High $228K/yr
Heat Wave
Low $789K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Wildfire Medium 0.01 / yr $1M
Winter Weather High 9.79 / yr $228K
Heat Wave Low 3.63 / yr $789K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $319K
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $7
Ice Storm Low 0.07 / yr $34K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $120
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.14 / yr $3M
Cold Wave Low 0.21 / yr $292K
Lightning Low 19.49 / yr $77K
Drought Very Low 59.79 / yr $8K
Strong Wind Low 0.43 / yr $128K
Landslide Very Low 0.06 / yr $22
Tornado Very Low 0.05 / yr $41K
Hail Very Low 0.26 / yr $16K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Jerome County?

Jerome County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 21.5 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 21th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Jerome County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Wildfire (Medium, $1M EAL), Winter Weather (High, $228K EAL), Heat Wave (Low, $789K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Jerome County compare to other Idaho counties?

Jerome County ranks #31 of 44 Idaho counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Jerome County's $6M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.