Lincoln County

Idaho — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

9.1

National percentile: 9th

Lincoln County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 9.1, 9th national percentile), driven primarily by wildfire and volcanic activity exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $4M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $4M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 5K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Wildfire
Medium $2M/yr
Volcanic Activity
Very Low $19/yr
Winter Weather
Low $61K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Wildfire Medium 0.01 / yr $2M
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $19
Winter Weather Low 11.35 / yr $61K
Heat Wave Low 2.94 / yr $208K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $83K
Cold Wave Low 0.78 / yr $277K
Drought Very Low 78.98 / yr $3K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.14 / yr $2M
Lightning Very Low 21.43 / yr $39K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.05 / yr $6K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.52 / yr $68K
Landslide Very Low 0.18 / yr $22
Hail Very Low 0.25 / yr $8K
Tornado Very Low 0.12 / yr $11K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Lincoln County?

Lincoln County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 9.1 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 9th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Lincoln County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Wildfire (Medium, $2M EAL), Volcanic Activity (Very Low, $19 EAL), Winter Weather (Low, $61K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Lincoln County compare to other Idaho counties?

Lincoln County ranks #36 of 44 Idaho counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Lincoln County's $4M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.