Valley County

Idaho — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

55.6

National percentile: 56th

Valley County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 55.6, 56th national percentile), driven primarily by wildfire and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $20M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $20M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 12K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Wildfire
Medium $9M/yr
Landslide
Medium $214K/yr
Avalanche
Medium $913K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Wildfire Medium 0.01 / yr $9M
Landslide Medium 4.25 / yr $214K
Avalanche Medium 0.07 / yr $913K
Earthquake Low 0.01 / yr $676K
Winter Weather Low 20.03 / yr $92K
Riverine Flood Low 0.43 / yr $8M
Lightning Low 24.89 / yr $102K
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $1
Heat Wave Very Low 1.00 / yr $50K
Drought Very Low 23.54 / yr $12
Ice Storm Very Low 0.01 / yr $5K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.14 / yr $52K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.05 / yr $24K
Hail Very Low 0.12 / yr $14K
Tornado Very Low 0.05 / yr $11K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Valley County?

Valley County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 55.6 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 56th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Valley County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Wildfire (Medium, $9M EAL), Landslide (Medium, $214K EAL), Avalanche (Medium, $913K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Valley County compare to other Idaho counties?

Valley County ranks #12 of 44 Idaho counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Valley County's $20M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.