Ellis County

Kansas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

32.7

National percentile: 33th

Ellis County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 32.7, 33th national percentile), driven primarily by hail and winter weather exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $16M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $16M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 29K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Hail
Medium $2M/yr
Winter Weather
Medium $365K/yr
Ice Storm
Medium $547K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hail Medium 9.39 / yr $2M
Winter Weather Medium 11.32 / yr $365K
Ice Storm Medium 0.65 / yr $547K
Strong Wind Medium 5.00 / yr $2M
Lightning Medium 45.35 / yr $654K
Drought Low 50.89 / yr $456K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $133K
Tornado Low 0.98 / yr $2M
Cold Wave Low 3.79 / yr $2M
Riverine Flood Very Low 1.43 / yr $6M
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $57K
Heat Wave Very Low 4.95 / yr $68K
Landslide Very Low 0.19 / yr $60
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Ellis County?

Ellis County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 32.7 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 33th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Ellis County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hail (Medium, $2M EAL), Winter Weather (Medium, $365K EAL), Ice Storm (Medium, $547K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Ellis County compare to other Kansas counties?

Ellis County ranks #39 of 105 Kansas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Ellis County's $16M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.