Garrard County

Kentucky — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

30.2

National percentile: 30th

Garrard County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 30.2, 30th national percentile), driven primarily by strong wind and hail exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $7M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $7M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 17K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Strong Wind
Medium $666K/yr
Hail
Low $285K/yr
Ice Storm
Medium $98K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Strong Wind Medium 6.56 / yr $666K
Hail Low 3.33 / yr $285K
Ice Storm Medium 0.88 / yr $98K
Winter Weather Low 10.47 / yr $60K
Tornado Low 0.11 / yr $1M
Lightning Low 52.28 / yr $165K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $185K
Cold Wave Low 1.00 / yr $611K
Hurricane Very Low 0.03 / yr $31K
Landslide Very Low 0.50 / yr $512
Riverine Flood Low 0.82 / yr $3M
Drought Low 2.87 / yr $22K
Heat Wave Very Low 2.58 / yr $88K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $4K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Garrard County?

Garrard County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 30.2 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 30th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Garrard County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Strong Wind (Medium, $666K EAL), Hail (Low, $285K EAL), Ice Storm (Medium, $98K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Garrard County compare to other Kentucky counties?

Garrard County ranks #82 of 120 Kentucky counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Garrard County's $7M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.