McCracken County

Kentucky — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

89.7

National percentile: 90th

McCracken County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 89.7, 90th national percentile), driven primarily by earthquake and heat wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $79M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $79M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 68K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Earthquake
Medium $38M/yr
Heat Wave
Medium $6M/yr
Ice Storm
High $1M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Earthquake Medium 0.01 / yr $38M
Heat Wave Medium 10.63 / yr $6M
Ice Storm High 1.23 / yr $1M
Winter Weather High 6.74 / yr $367K
Cold Wave Medium 0.95 / yr $5M
Tornado Medium 0.23 / yr $5M
Strong Wind Medium 4.02 / yr $1M
Hail Medium 2.98 / yr $942K
Riverine Flood Medium 5.18 / yr $19M
Lightning Medium 56.46 / yr $649K
Drought Medium 6.55 / yr $507K
Landslide Very Low 0.26 / yr $2K
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr $41K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $19K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for McCracken County?

McCracken County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 89.7 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 90th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in McCracken County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Earthquake (Medium, $38M EAL), Heat Wave (Medium, $6M EAL), Ice Storm (High, $1M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does McCracken County compare to other Kentucky counties?

McCracken County ranks #4 of 120 Kentucky counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. McCracken County's $79M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.