McLean County

Kentucky — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

40.7

National percentile: 41th

McLean County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 40.7, 41th national percentile), driven primarily by ice storm and earthquake exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $9M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $9M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 9K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Ice Storm
High $492K/yr
Earthquake
Low $2M/yr
Strong Wind
Medium $732K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Ice Storm High 1.43 / yr $492K
Earthquake Low 0.01 / yr $2M
Strong Wind Medium 4.60 / yr $732K
Drought Medium 5.79 / yr $392K
Hail Low 2.92 / yr $345K
Winter Weather Low 7.79 / yr $53K
Riverine Flood Low 2.25 / yr $4M
Heat Wave Low 8.26 / yr $219K
Tornado Low 0.19 / yr $567K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $8K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.95 / yr $216K
Lightning Very Low 53.36 / yr $47K
Landslide Very Low 0.19 / yr $66
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $1K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for McLean County?

McLean County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 40.7 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 41th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in McLean County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Ice Storm (High, $492K EAL), Earthquake (Low, $2M EAL), Strong Wind (Medium, $732K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does McLean County compare to other Kentucky counties?

McLean County ranks #58 of 120 Kentucky counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. McLean County's $9M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.