Morgan County

Kentucky — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

22.1

National percentile: 22th

Morgan County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 22.1, 22th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $7M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $7M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 14K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Landslide
Medium $45K/yr
Wildfire
Low $162K/yr
Riverine Flood
Low $5M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Medium 1.14 / yr $45K
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $162K
Riverine Flood Low 1.75 / yr $5M
Winter Weather Low 15.21 / yr $48K
Heat Wave Very Low 2.53 / yr $181K
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr $22K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $112K
Lightning Low 50.48 / yr $111K
Strong Wind Low 4.14 / yr $282K
Tornado Low 0.09 / yr $442K
Hail Very Low 3.26 / yr $84K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.41 / yr $21K
Cold Wave Very Low 1.16 / yr $192K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 2.98 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Morgan County?

Morgan County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 22.1 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 22th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Morgan County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Medium, $45K EAL), Wildfire (Low, $162K EAL), Riverine Flood (Low, $5M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Morgan County compare to other Kentucky counties?

Morgan County ranks #98 of 120 Kentucky counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Morgan County's $7M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.