Natchitoches Parish
Louisiana — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 56th
Natchitoches Parish faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 56.4, 56th national percentile), driven primarily by strong wind and heat wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $13M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Strong Wind | High | 3.94 / yr | $1M |
| Heat Wave | Medium | 21.74 / yr | $2M |
| Ice Storm | Medium | 1.01 / yr | $249K |
| Hail | Medium | 3.48 / yr | $512K |
| Hurricane | Low | 0.06 / yr | $706K |
| Lightning | Medium | 70.46 / yr | $291K |
| Tornado | Low | 1.09 / yr | $1M |
| Landslide | Low | 0.49 / yr | $2K |
| Riverine Flood | Low | 1.36 / yr | $7M |
| Drought | Low | 33.53 / yr | $196K |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $282K |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $37K |
| Winter Weather | Low | 2.37 / yr | $44K |
| Cold Wave | Very Low | 0.58 / yr | $158K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Natchitoches Parish?
Natchitoches Parish has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 56.4 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 56th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Natchitoches Parish?
The three highest-rated hazards are Strong Wind (High, $1M EAL), Heat Wave (Medium, $2M EAL), Ice Storm (Medium, $249K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Natchitoches Parish compare to other Louisiana counties?
Natchitoches Parish ranks #39 of 64 Louisiana counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Natchitoches Parish's $13M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.