Grand Traverse County
Michigan — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 66th
Grand Traverse County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 65.6, 66th national percentile), driven primarily by winter weather and cold wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $31M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Winter Weather | Very High | 30.84 / yr | $2M |
| Cold Wave | High | 0.89 / yr | $16M |
| Landslide | Low | 0.19 / yr | $16K |
| Lightning | Medium | 25.78 / yr | $550K |
| Strong Wind | Medium | 0.88 / yr | $862K |
| Riverine Flood | Low | 0.61 / yr | $10M |
| Hail | Low | 0.79 / yr | $373K |
| Tornado | Low | 0.07 / yr | $1M |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 0.74 / yr | $204K |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.01 / yr | $8K |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $19K |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.01 / yr | $6K |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $20K |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | 0.07 / yr | $6K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Drought | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Grand Traverse County?
Grand Traverse County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 65.6 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 66th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Grand Traverse County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Winter Weather (Very High, $2M EAL), Cold Wave (High, $16M EAL), Landslide (Low, $16K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Grand Traverse County compare to other Michigan counties?
Grand Traverse County ranks #29 of 83 Michigan counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Grand Traverse County's $31M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.