Mackinac County

Michigan — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

9.1

National percentile: 9th

Mackinac County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 9.1, 9th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $3M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $3M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 11K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Landslide
Very Low $1K/yr
Wildfire
Very Low $30K/yr
Cold Wave
Low $534K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Very Low 0.17 / yr $1K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $30K
Cold Wave Low 2.18 / yr $534K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.01 / yr $7K
Lightning Low 22.57 / yr $84K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.18 / yr $3M
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $3K
Winter Weather Very Low 23.13 / yr $9K
Hail Very Low 0.26 / yr $30K
Tornado Very Low 0.08 / yr $41K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $4K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.29 / yr $29K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.11 / yr $3K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.01 / yr $966
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Mackinac County?

Mackinac County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 9.1 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 9th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Mackinac County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Very Low, $1K EAL), Wildfire (Very Low, $30K EAL), Cold Wave (Low, $534K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Mackinac County compare to other Michigan counties?

Mackinac County ranks #79 of 83 Michigan counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Mackinac County's $3M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.