Pawnee County

Nebraska — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

3.8

National percentile: 4th

Pawnee County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 3.8, 4th national percentile), driven primarily by wildfire and drought exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $2M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $2M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 3K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Wildfire
Low $326K/yr
Drought
Low $166K/yr
Hail
Low $234K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $326K
Drought Low 8.59 / yr $166K
Hail Low 7.69 / yr $234K
Landslide Very Low 0.10 / yr $489
Ice Storm Low 0.87 / yr $38K
Winter Weather Low 12.05 / yr $26K
Tornado Low 0.37 / yr $405K
Heat Wave Very Low 8.26 / yr $102K
Strong Wind Very Low 4.52 / yr $117K
Lightning Very Low 47.92 / yr $28K
Cold Wave Very Low 3.32 / yr $53K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.39 / yr $941K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $5K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Pawnee County?

Pawnee County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 3.8 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 4th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Pawnee County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Wildfire (Low, $326K EAL), Drought (Low, $166K EAL), Hail (Low, $234K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Pawnee County compare to other Nebraska counties?

Pawnee County ranks #75 of 93 Nebraska counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Pawnee County's $2M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.