Dutchess County
New York — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
MediumComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 88th
Dutchess County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 88.3, 88th national percentile), driven primarily by riverine flood and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $85M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Riverine Flood | Medium | 1.93 / yr | $60M |
| Landslide | Medium | 1.24 / yr | $85K |
| Hurricane | Medium | 0.10 / yr | $10M |
| Strong Wind | High | 3.53 / yr | $2M |
| Lightning | High | 29.08 / yr | $1M |
| Earthquake | Low | 0.00 / yr | $3M |
| Heat Wave | Low | 5.86 / yr | $2M |
| Winter Weather | Medium | 14.43 / yr | $206K |
| Cold Wave | Medium | 1.77 / yr | $3M |
| Ice Storm | Medium | 1.52 / yr | $347K |
| Hail | Low | 2.87 / yr | $522K |
| Tornado | Low | 0.25 / yr | $2M |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $84K |
| Coastal Flood | Low | 3.72 / yr | $72K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.01 / yr | $471 |
| Drought | Low | 0.97 / yr | $115K |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Dutchess County?
Dutchess County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 88.3 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 88th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Dutchess County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Riverine Flood (Medium, $60M EAL), Landslide (Medium, $85K EAL), Hurricane (Medium, $10M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Dutchess County compare to other New York counties?
Dutchess County ranks #14 of 62 New York counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Dutchess County's $85M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.