Seneca County

New York — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

41.8

National percentile: 42th

Seneca County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 41.8, 42th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and ice storm exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $10M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $10M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 34K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Drought
Medium $462K/yr
Ice Storm
Medium $161K/yr
Riverine Flood
Low $8M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought Medium 2.52 / yr $462K
Ice Storm Medium 0.74 / yr $161K
Riverine Flood Low 0.54 / yr $8M
Hurricane Low 0.02 / yr $146K
Hail Low 1.89 / yr $227K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $176K
Lightning Low 29.86 / yr $94K
Heat Wave Very Low 3.47 / yr $123K
Tornado Low 0.06 / yr $401K
Strong Wind Low 1.52 / yr $217K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $8K
Landslide Very Low 0.06 / yr $127
Cold Wave Very Low 3.00 / yr $170K
Winter Weather Very Low 15.00 / yr $6K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Seneca County?

Seneca County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 41.8 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 42th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Seneca County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (Medium, $462K EAL), Ice Storm (Medium, $161K EAL), Riverine Flood (Low, $8M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Seneca County compare to other New York counties?

Seneca County ranks #55 of 62 New York counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Seneca County's $10M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.