Tioga County

New York — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

59.9

National percentile: 60th

Tioga County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 59.9, 60th national percentile), driven primarily by riverine flood and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $20M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $20M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 48K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Riverine Flood
Medium $17M/yr
Landslide
Low $5K/yr
Hurricane
Low $260K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Riverine Flood Medium 2.11 / yr $17M
Landslide Low 0.53 / yr $5K
Hurricane Low 0.03 / yr $260K
Ice Storm Low 0.50 / yr $79K
Lightning Low 31.16 / yr $179K
Tornado Low 0.14 / yr $948K
Drought Low 0.54 / yr $70K
Heat Wave Low 3.11 / yr $220K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $183
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $90K
Cold Wave Low 3.32 / yr $325K
Strong Wind Low 1.46 / yr $230K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $9K
Hail Very Low 2.27 / yr $61K
Winter Weather Very Low 15.58 / yr $6K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Tioga County?

Tioga County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 59.9 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 60th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Tioga County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Riverine Flood (Medium, $17M EAL), Landslide (Low, $5K EAL), Hurricane (Low, $260K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Tioga County compare to other New York counties?

Tioga County ranks #44 of 62 New York counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Tioga County's $20M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.