Cumberland County

North Carolina — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

89.5

National percentile: 89th

Cumberland County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 89.5, 89th national percentile), driven primarily by winter weather and heat wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $90M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $90M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 334K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Winter Weather
Very High $1M/yr
Heat Wave
Medium $6M/yr
Hurricane
High $19M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Winter Weather Very High 4.47 / yr $1M
Heat Wave Medium 8.89 / yr $6M
Hurricane High 0.24 / yr $19M
Lightning High 52.52 / yr $2M
Tornado High 0.38 / yr $10M
Ice Storm High 1.06 / yr $1M
Riverine Flood Medium 2.14 / yr $41M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $4M
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $733K
Hail Medium 4.00 / yr $951K
Cold Wave Medium 0.47 / yr $3M
Strong Wind Medium 1.97 / yr $1M
Landslide Very Low 0.13 / yr $2K
Drought Low 10.68 / yr $114K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Cumberland County?

Cumberland County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 89.5 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 89th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Cumberland County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Winter Weather (Very High, $1M EAL), Heat Wave (Medium, $6M EAL), Hurricane (High, $19M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Cumberland County compare to other North Carolina counties?

Cumberland County ranks #16 of 100 North Carolina counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Cumberland County's $90M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.