McDowell County

North Carolina — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

59.2

National percentile: 59th

McDowell County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 59.2, 59th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and ice storm exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $17M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $17M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 45K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Landslide
Medium $143K/yr
Ice Storm
High $574K/yr
Riverine Flood
Low $12M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Medium 1.33 / yr $143K
Ice Storm High 1.58 / yr $574K
Riverine Flood Low 1.18 / yr $12M
Lightning Medium 55.22 / yr $373K
Drought Medium 30.67 / yr $300K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $408K
Hurricane Low 0.04 / yr $183K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $64K
Cold Wave Low 1.80 / yr $1M
Tornado Low 0.16 / yr $1M
Strong Wind Medium 2.46 / yr $516K
Hail Low 4.90 / yr $227K
Winter Weather Very Low 9.88 / yr $17K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.11 / yr $57K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for McDowell County?

McDowell County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 59.2 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 59th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in McDowell County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Medium, $143K EAL), Ice Storm (High, $574K EAL), Riverine Flood (Low, $12M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does McDowell County compare to other North Carolina counties?

McDowell County ranks #69 of 100 North Carolina counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. McDowell County's $17M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.