Cass County

North Dakota — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

82.4

National percentile: 82th

Cass County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 82.4, 82th national percentile), driven primarily by winter weather and strong wind exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $82M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $82M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 184K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Winter Weather
Very High $4M/yr
Strong Wind
Very High $10M/yr
Hail
High $7M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Winter Weather Very High 24.26 / yr $4M
Strong Wind Very High 2.54 / yr $10M
Hail High 4.19 / yr $7M
Ice Storm Very High 0.43 / yr $3M
Tornado Medium 1.24 / yr $12M
Cold Wave Medium 18.58 / yr $10M
Riverine Flood Medium 2.18 / yr $34M
Lightning Medium 29.59 / yr $640K
Heat Wave Low 1.63 / yr $868K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $83K
Landslide Very Low 0.17 / yr $699
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $69K
Drought Very Low 1.57 / yr $7K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Cass County?

Cass County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 82.4 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 82th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Cass County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Winter Weather (Very High, $4M EAL), Strong Wind (Very High, $10M EAL), Hail (High, $7M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Cass County compare to other North Dakota counties?

Cass County ranks #2 of 53 North Dakota counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Cass County's $82M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.