Umatilla County

Oregon — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

82.3

National percentile: 82th

Umatilla County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 82.3, 82th national percentile), driven primarily by wildfire and cold wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $40M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $40M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 80K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Wildfire
Medium $4M/yr
Cold Wave
High $9M/yr
Ice Storm
High $1M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Wildfire Medium 0.01 / yr $4M
Cold Wave High 0.26 / yr $9M
Ice Storm High 0.35 / yr $1M
Landslide Medium 1.72 / yr $48K
Winter Weather High 15.00 / yr $329K
Earthquake Low 0.01 / yr $3M
Heat Wave Medium 4.84 / yr $2M
Strong Wind Medium 0.28 / yr $1M
Drought Medium 24.39 / yr $913K
Riverine Flood Medium 0.64 / yr $18M
Avalanche Low 0.03 / yr $19K
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $102
Lightning Low 14.35 / yr $236K
Hail Low 0.39 / yr $238K
Tornado Very Low 0.10 / yr $91K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Umatilla County?

Umatilla County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 82.3 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 82th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Umatilla County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Wildfire (Medium, $4M EAL), Cold Wave (High, $9M EAL), Ice Storm (High, $1M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Umatilla County compare to other Oregon counties?

Umatilla County ranks #17 of 36 Oregon counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Umatilla County's $40M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.