Aiken County

South Carolina — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

84.2

National percentile: 84th

Aiken County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 84.2, 84th national percentile), driven primarily by ice storm and lightning exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $48M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $48M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 169K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Ice Storm
High $1M/yr
Lightning
High $1M/yr
Hurricane
Medium $7M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Ice Storm High 1.16 / yr $1M
Lightning High 61.37 / yr $1M
Hurricane Medium 0.14 / yr $7M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $4M
Tornado Medium 0.71 / yr $5M
Heat Wave Medium 4.63 / yr $2M
Riverine Flood Medium 0.43 / yr $23M
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $466K
Landslide Low 0.45 / yr $16K
Hail Medium 3.19 / yr $591K
Strong Wind Medium 4.94 / yr $943K
Cold Wave Medium 0.21 / yr $2M
Drought Low 30.88 / yr $236K
Winter Weather Low 1.58 / yr $64K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Aiken County?

Aiken County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 84.2 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 84th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Aiken County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Ice Storm (High, $1M EAL), Lightning (High, $1M EAL), Hurricane (Medium, $7M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Aiken County compare to other South Carolina counties?

Aiken County ranks #18 of 46 South Carolina counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Aiken County's $48M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.