Morgan County

Utah — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

3.5

National percentile: 3th

Morgan County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 3.5, 3th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $5M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $5M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 12K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Landslide
Medium $111K/yr
Wildfire
Low $1M/yr
Winter Weather
Medium $317K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Medium 0.67 / yr $111K
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $1M
Winter Weather Medium 42.29 / yr $317K
Avalanche Low 0.03 / yr $11K
Earthquake Very Low 0.01 / yr $186K
Lightning Very Low 35.45 / yr $157K
Drought Very Low 56.64 / yr $16K
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Strong Wind Very Low 1.03 / yr $158K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.21 / yr $3M
Heat Wave Very Low 0.10 / yr $23K
Tornado Very Low 0.04 / yr $46K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.18 / yr $25K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.01 / yr $2K
Hail Very Low 0.28 / yr $6K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Morgan County?

Morgan County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 3.5 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 3th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Morgan County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Medium, $111K EAL), Wildfire (Low, $1M EAL), Winter Weather (Medium, $317K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Morgan County compare to other Utah counties?

Morgan County ranks #26 of 29 Utah counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Morgan County's $5M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.