Albemarle County

Virginia — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

78.1

National percentile: 78th

Albemarle County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 78.1, 78th national percentile), driven primarily by strong wind and earthquake exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $40M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $40M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 112K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Strong Wind
High $2M/yr
Earthquake
Low $3M/yr
Riverine Flood
Medium $27M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Strong Wind High 3.25 / yr $2M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $3M
Riverine Flood Medium 3.39 / yr $27M
Landslide Low 1.83 / yr $27K
Hurricane Medium 0.07 / yr $3M
Drought Medium 4.39 / yr $875K
Lightning Medium 41.30 / yr $683K
Winter Weather Medium 9.45 / yr $136K
Heat Wave Low 3.78 / yr $917K
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $120K
Ice Storm Low 0.89 / yr $110K
Tornado Low 0.23 / yr $1M
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $551
Hail Low 2.51 / yr $260K
Cold Wave Very Low 1.66 / yr $96K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Albemarle County?

Albemarle County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 78.1 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 78th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Albemarle County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Strong Wind (High, $2M EAL), Earthquake (Low, $3M EAL), Riverine Flood (Medium, $27M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Albemarle County compare to other Virginia counties?

Albemarle County ranks #9 of 133 Virginia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Albemarle County's $40M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.