Clarke County

Virginia — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

6.9

National percentile: 7th

Clarke County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 6.9, 7th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and hurricane exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $6M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $6M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 15K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Drought
Medium $556K/yr
Hurricane
Very Low $193K/yr
Heat Wave
Low $681K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought Medium 3.92 / yr $556K
Hurricane Very Low 0.09 / yr $193K
Heat Wave Low 3.53 / yr $681K
Landslide Very Low 0.12 / yr $2K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $166K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $26K
Strong Wind Low 7.35 / yr $490K
Hail Very Low 3.86 / yr $108K
Winter Weather Very Low 12.44 / yr $24K
Riverine Flood Very Low 1.32 / yr $3M
Tornado Very Low 0.11 / yr $198K
Lightning Very Low 37.50 / yr $74K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $17
Cold Wave Very Low 1.74 / yr $85K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.58 / yr $2K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Clarke County?

Clarke County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 6.9 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 7th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Clarke County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (Medium, $556K EAL), Hurricane (Very Low, $193K EAL), Heat Wave (Low, $681K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Clarke County compare to other Virginia counties?

Clarke County ranks #114 of 133 Virginia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Clarke County's $6M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.