Falls Church City

Virginia — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

1.6

National percentile: 2th

Falls Church City faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 1.6, 2th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and lightning exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $3M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $3M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 15K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Hurricane
Very Low $201K/yr
Lightning
Low $493K/yr
Heat Wave
Very Low $273K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hurricane Very Low 0.10 / yr $201K
Lightning Low 41.46 / yr $493K
Heat Wave Very Low 6.34 / yr $273K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $142K
Strong Wind Low 8.29 / yr $280K
Winter Weather Very Low 9.19 / yr $24K
Tornado Very Low 0.00 / yr $201K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.58 / yr $10K
Hail Very Low 4.05 / yr $45K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.36 / yr $1M
Cold Wave Very Low 1.27 / yr $18K
Landslide Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $100
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 2.22 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Falls Church City?

Falls Church City has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 1.6 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 2th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Falls Church City?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (Very Low, $201K EAL), Lightning (Low, $493K EAL), Heat Wave (Very Low, $273K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Falls Church City compare to other Virginia counties?

Falls Church City ranks #132 of 133 Virginia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Falls Church City's $3M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.