Goochland County

Virginia — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

15.5

National percentile: 16th

Goochland County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 15.5, 16th national percentile), driven primarily by earthquake and drought exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $8M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $8M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 25K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Earthquake
Low $1M/yr
Drought
Medium $701K/yr
Hurricane
Low $281K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $1M
Drought Medium 6.28 / yr $701K
Hurricane Low 0.09 / yr $281K
Strong Wind Low 2.77 / yr $584K
Landslide Very Low 0.41 / yr $501
Ice Storm Low 0.94 / yr $49K
Heat Wave Very Low 3.89 / yr $162K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.25 / yr $4M
Lightning Low 40.88 / yr $119K
Tornado Very Low 0.14 / yr $471K
Hail Very Low 2.62 / yr $56K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $4K
Winter Weather Very Low 5.85 / yr $8K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.69 / yr $12K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Goochland County?

Goochland County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 15.5 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 16th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Goochland County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Earthquake (Low, $1M EAL), Drought (Medium, $701K EAL), Hurricane (Low, $281K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Goochland County compare to other Virginia counties?

Goochland County ranks #93 of 133 Virginia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Goochland County's $8M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.