Madison County

Virginia — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

8.4

National percentile: 8th

Madison County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 8.4, 8th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and drought exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $5M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $5M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 14K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Hurricane
Low $658K/yr
Drought
Low $263K/yr
Avalanche
Very Low $789/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hurricane Low 0.08 / yr $658K
Drought Low 3.75 / yr $263K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $789
Landslide Very Low 0.73 / yr $1K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $215K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $28K
Strong Wind Low 4.51 / yr $353K
Heat Wave Very Low 3.77 / yr $124K
Lightning Very Low 40.82 / yr $78K
Hail Very Low 3.00 / yr $77K
Riverine Flood Very Low 2.61 / yr $3M
Tornado Very Low 0.14 / yr $131K
Winter Weather Very Low 10.60 / yr $12K
Cold Wave Very Low 1.95 / yr $80K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.70 / yr $5K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Madison County?

Madison County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 8.4 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 8th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Madison County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (Low, $658K EAL), Drought (Low, $263K EAL), Avalanche (Very Low, $789 EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Madison County compare to other Virginia counties?

Madison County ranks #111 of 133 Virginia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Madison County's $5M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.