Manassas Park City
Virginia — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
Very LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 5th
Manassas Park City faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 4.9, 5th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and heat wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $3M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.08 / yr | $131K |
| Heat Wave | Low | 5.79 / yr | $288K |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $104K |
| Lightning | Low | 41.27 / yr | $131K |
| Strong Wind | Low | 7.07 / yr | $333K |
| Winter Weather | Very Low | 9.53 / yr | $22K |
| Tornado | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $188K |
| Riverine Flood | Very Low | 0.11 / yr | $2M |
| Hail | Very Low | 3.77 / yr | $34K |
| Cold Wave | Very Low | 1.37 / yr | $67K |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | 0.54 / yr | $5K |
| Landslide | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $4 |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $137 |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Drought | Very Low | 1.39 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Manassas Park City?
Manassas Park City has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 4.9 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 5th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Manassas Park City?
The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (Very Low, $131K EAL), Heat Wave (Low, $288K EAL), Earthquake (Very Low, $104K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Manassas Park City compare to other Virginia counties?
Manassas Park City ranks #124 of 133 Virginia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Manassas Park City's $3M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.