Page County
Virginia — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
Very LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 38th
Page County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 37.9, 38th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $10M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Hurricane | Low | 0.06 / yr | $1M |
| Landslide | Low | 0.50 / yr | $8K |
| Drought | Medium | 3.93 / yr | $318K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.01 / yr | $2K |
| Strong Wind | Medium | 4.30 / yr | $558K |
| Riverine Flood | Low | 1.57 / yr | $7M |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $46K |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $150K |
| Hail | Low | 2.69 / yr | $135K |
| Lightning | Low | 38.68 / yr | $114K |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 2.62 / yr | $146K |
| Winter Weather | Low | 12.56 / yr | $26K |
| Cold Wave | Low | 2.19 / yr | $313K |
| Tornado | Very Low | 0.11 / yr | $174K |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | 0.91 / yr | $8K |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Page County?
Page County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 37.9 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 38th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Page County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (Low, $1M EAL), Landslide (Low, $8K EAL), Drought (Medium, $318K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Page County compare to other Virginia counties?
Page County ranks #54 of 133 Virginia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Page County's $10M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.