Winchester City
Virginia — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
Very LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 17th
Winchester City faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 16.9, 17th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and earthquake exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $6M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Hurricane | Low | 0.05 / yr | $553K |
| Earthquake | Low | 0.00 / yr | $503K |
| Winter Weather | Low | 13.16 / yr | $60K |
| Heat Wave | Low | 3.26 / yr | $331K |
| Strong Wind | Low | 4.70 / yr | $436K |
| Hail | Low | 2.75 / yr | $182K |
| Riverine Flood | Very Low | 0.43 / yr | $3M |
| Lightning | Low | 37.47 / yr | $99K |
| Tornado | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $347K |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | 0.33 / yr | $6K |
| Landslide | Very Low | 0.01 / yr | $34 |
| Cold Wave | Very Low | 1.95 / yr | $76K |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $2K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Drought | Very Low | 3.86 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Winchester City?
Winchester City has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 16.9 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 17th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Winchester City?
The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (Low, $553K EAL), Earthquake (Low, $503K EAL), Winter Weather (Low, $60K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Winchester City compare to other Virginia counties?
Winchester City ranks #89 of 133 Virginia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Winchester City's $6M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.