Cowlitz County

Washington — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

90.3

National percentile: 90th

Cowlitz County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 90.3, 90th national percentile), driven primarily by volcanic activity and earthquake exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $88M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $88M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 111K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Volcanic Activity
High $8M/yr
Earthquake
Medium $39M/yr
Heat Wave
Medium $4M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Volcanic Activity High 0.01 / yr $8M
Earthquake Medium 0.02 / yr $39M
Heat Wave Medium 5.00 / yr $4M
Riverine Flood Medium 0.75 / yr $34M
Landslide Low 2.30 / yr $26K
Cold Wave Medium 0.27 / yr $3M
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $94K
Coastal Flood Low 1.62 / yr $152K
Winter Weather Low 21.10 / yr $65K
Strong Wind Low 0.04 / yr $400K
Ice Storm Low 0.33 / yr $35K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $56
Lightning Very Low 6.13 / yr $80K
Tornado Very Low 0.09 / yr $252K
Hail Very Low 0.05 / yr $43K
Drought Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Cowlitz County?

Cowlitz County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 90.3 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 90th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Cowlitz County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Volcanic Activity (High, $8M EAL), Earthquake (Medium, $39M EAL), Heat Wave (Medium, $4M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Cowlitz County compare to other Washington counties?

Cowlitz County ranks #12 of 39 Washington counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Cowlitz County's $88M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.