Douglas County

Washington — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

74.1

National percentile: 74th

Douglas County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 74.1, 74th national percentile), driven primarily by wildfire and volcanic activity exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $27M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $27M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 43K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Wildfire
Medium $3M/yr
Volcanic Activity
Very Low $1K/yr
Cold Wave
Medium $4M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Wildfire Medium 0.01 / yr $3M
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.01 / yr $1K
Cold Wave Medium 1.20 / yr $4M
Riverine Flood Medium 0.32 / yr $18M
Earthquake Low 0.01 / yr $2M
Heat Wave Low 4.44 / yr $677K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $1K
Winter Weather Low 14.57 / yr $67K
Hail Low 0.11 / yr $266K
Lightning Low 11.49 / yr $222K
Landslide Very Low 0.85 / yr $1K
Drought Very Low 14.82 / yr $2K
Strong Wind Low 0.11 / yr $126K
Tornado Very Low 0.05 / yr $27K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.01 / yr $541
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Douglas County?

Douglas County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 74.1 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 74th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Douglas County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Wildfire (Medium, $3M EAL), Volcanic Activity (Very Low, $1K EAL), Cold Wave (Medium, $4M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Douglas County compare to other Washington counties?

Douglas County ranks #23 of 39 Washington counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Douglas County's $27M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.