Thurston County

Washington — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

High

Composite Risk Score

94.5

National percentile: 94th

Thurston County faces high composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 94.5, 94th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and earthquake exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $191M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $191M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 294K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Landslide
High $2M/yr
Earthquake
High $134M/yr
Volcanic Activity
Medium $195K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide High 5.08 / yr $2M
Earthquake High 0.03 / yr $134M
Volcanic Activity Medium 0.01 / yr $195K
Riverine Flood Medium 0.14 / yr $50M
Heat Wave Medium 4.26 / yr $4M
Ice Storm Medium 0.63 / yr $210K
Coastal Flood Low 3.10 / yr $479K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $84K
Winter Weather Low 6.10 / yr $95K
Lightning Low 6.73 / yr $129K
Strong Wind Low 0.01 / yr $282K
Tornado Very Low 0.04 / yr $431K
Tsunami Very Low 0.06 / yr $91K
Drought Very Low 1.28 / yr $107
Hail Very Low 0.01 / yr $21K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $3
Cold Wave Very Low 0.00 / yr $21
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Thurston County?

Thurston County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 94.5 out of 100, placing it in the High category and the 94th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Thurston County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (High, $2M EAL), Earthquake (High, $134M EAL), Volcanic Activity (Medium, $195K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Thurston County compare to other Washington counties?

Thurston County ranks #5 of 39 Washington counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a high rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Thurston County's $191M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.