Mobile County

Alabama — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

High

Composite Risk Score

98.0

National percentile: 98th

Mobile County faces high composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 98.0, 98th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and lightning exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $298M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $298M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 415K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Hurricane
Very High $178M/yr
Lightning
Very High $3M/yr
Heat Wave
Medium $7M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hurricane Very High 0.24 / yr $178M
Lightning Very High 84.83 / yr $3M
Heat Wave Medium 9.98 / yr $7M
Riverine Flood High 3.68 / yr $81M
Tornado High 1.17 / yr $10M
Wildfire Medium 0.00 / yr $2M
Coastal Flood High 4.77 / yr $6M
Drought Medium 16.67 / yr $1M
Cold Wave Medium 0.85 / yr $5M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $2M
Hail Medium 1.71 / yr $953K
Winter Weather Medium 0.72 / yr $204K
Strong Wind Medium 1.90 / yr $1M
Ice Storm Medium 0.53 / yr $374K
Landslide Low 0.30 / yr $7K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Mobile County?

Mobile County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 98.0 out of 100, placing it in the High category and the 98th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Mobile County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (Very High, $178M EAL), Lightning (Very High, $3M EAL), Heat Wave (Medium, $7M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Mobile County compare to other Alabama counties?

Mobile County ranks #1 of 67 Alabama counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a high rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Mobile County's $298M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.