Bethel Census Area

Alaska — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

44.3

National percentile: 44th

Bethel Census Area faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 44.3, 44th national percentile), driven primarily by cold wave and winter weather exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $8M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $8M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 19K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Cold Wave
High $7M/yr
Winter Weather
High $237K/yr
Wildfire
Low $372K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Cold Wave High 4.54 / yr $7M
Winter Weather High 11.06 / yr $237K
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $372K
Avalanche Low 0.03 / yr $8K
Earthquake Very Low 0.06 / yr $158K
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.03 / yr $4
Landslide Very Low 0.38 / yr $335
Lightning Low 21.30 / yr $59K
Tsunami Very Low 0.01 / yr $54K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.01 / yr $759K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.01 / yr $1K
Tornado Very Low 0.05 / yr $783
Strong Wind Very Low 0.00 / yr $189
Hail Very Low 0.00 / yr $82
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Heat Wave Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Bethel Census Area?

Bethel Census Area has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 44.3 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 44th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Bethel Census Area?

The three highest-rated hazards are Cold Wave (High, $7M EAL), Winter Weather (High, $237K EAL), Wildfire (Low, $372K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Bethel Census Area compare to other Alaska counties?

Bethel Census Area ranks #11 of 30 Alaska counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Bethel Census Area's $8M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.