Craighead County

Arkansas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

91.8

National percentile: 92th

Craighead County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 91.8, 92th national percentile), driven primarily by ice storm and earthquake exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $90M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $90M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 111K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Ice Storm
Very High $4M/yr
Earthquake
Medium $36M/yr
Tornado
High $18M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Ice Storm Very High 1.28 / yr $4M
Earthquake Medium 0.01 / yr $36M
Tornado High 0.55 / yr $18M
Heat Wave Medium 20.05 / yr $5M
Cold Wave High 2.26 / yr $8M
Drought High 8.95 / yr $2M
Winter Weather High 7.05 / yr $356K
Lightning High 57.35 / yr $754K
Riverine Flood Medium 2.46 / yr $15M
Strong Wind Medium 1.93 / yr $912K
Landslide Low 0.52 / yr $5K
Hail Low 3.36 / yr $411K
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr $119K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $27K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Craighead County?

Craighead County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 91.8 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 92th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Craighead County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Ice Storm (Very High, $4M EAL), Earthquake (Medium, $36M EAL), Tornado (High, $18M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Craighead County compare to other Arkansas counties?

Craighead County ranks #3 of 75 Arkansas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Craighead County's $90M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.