Crittenden County

Arkansas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

83.0

National percentile: 83th

Crittenden County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 83.0, 83th national percentile), driven primarily by earthquake and ice storm exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $39M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $39M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 48K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Earthquake
Medium $18M/yr
Ice Storm
High $969K/yr
Heat Wave
Medium $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Earthquake Medium 0.01 / yr $18M
Ice Storm High 1.36 / yr $969K
Heat Wave Medium 22.58 / yr $2M
Drought Medium 7.94 / yr $915K
Cold Wave Medium 1.63 / yr $2M
Tornado Medium 0.44 / yr $2M
Riverine Flood Low 1.00 / yr $11M
Lightning Medium 59.64 / yr $291K
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr $45K
Winter Weather Low 5.68 / yr $43K
Strong Wind Low 1.44 / yr $334K
Landslide Very Low 0.34 / yr $505
Hail Low 2.96 / yr $112K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $1K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Crittenden County?

Crittenden County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 83.0 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 83th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Crittenden County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Earthquake (Medium, $18M EAL), Ice Storm (High, $969K EAL), Heat Wave (Medium, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Crittenden County compare to other Arkansas counties?

Crittenden County ranks #11 of 75 Arkansas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Crittenden County's $39M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.