Hot Spring County

Arkansas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

55.5

National percentile: 56th

Hot Spring County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 55.5, 56th national percentile), driven primarily by ice storm and lightning exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $14M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $14M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 33K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Ice Storm
High $965K/yr
Lightning
High $717K/yr
Strong Wind
Medium $1M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Ice Storm High 1.13 / yr $965K
Lightning High 64.17 / yr $717K
Strong Wind Medium 3.33 / yr $1M
Hail Medium 5.00 / yr $600K
Heat Wave Low 18.11 / yr $984K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $924K
Tornado Medium 0.40 / yr $2M
Landslide Low 0.58 / yr $2K
Riverine Flood Low 1.82 / yr $6M
Winter Weather Low 4.05 / yr $57K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $47K
Hurricane Very Low 0.04 / yr $76K
Drought Very Low 10.81 / yr $11K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.79 / yr $110K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Hot Spring County?

Hot Spring County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 55.5 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 56th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Hot Spring County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Ice Storm (High, $965K EAL), Lightning (High, $717K EAL), Strong Wind (Medium, $1M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Hot Spring County compare to other Arkansas counties?

Hot Spring County ranks #37 of 75 Arkansas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Hot Spring County's $14M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.