Madison County

Arkansas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

45.1

National percentile: 45th

Madison County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 45.1, 45th national percentile), driven primarily by ice storm and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $12M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $12M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 16K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Ice Storm
High $894K/yr
Landslide
Low $18K/yr
Heat Wave
Low $1M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Ice Storm High 1.88 / yr $894K
Landslide Low 2.01 / yr $18K
Heat Wave Low 9.00 / yr $1M
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $154K
Winter Weather Medium 10.84 / yr $90K
Tornado Medium 0.60 / yr $2M
Riverine Flood Low 1.86 / yr $6M
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $267K
Hail Low 6.66 / yr $201K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $39K
Strong Wind Low 5.18 / yr $392K
Cold Wave Low 1.79 / yr $574K
Lightning Low 58.13 / yr $141K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 14.14 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Madison County?

Madison County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 45.1 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 45th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Madison County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Ice Storm (High, $894K EAL), Landslide (Low, $18K EAL), Heat Wave (Low, $1M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Madison County compare to other Arkansas counties?

Madison County ranks #51 of 75 Arkansas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Madison County's $12M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.