Montgomery County

Arkansas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

30.7

National percentile: 31th

Montgomery County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 30.7, 31th national percentile), driven primarily by ice storm and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $6M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $6M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 8K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Ice Storm
High $312K/yr
Landslide
Low $2K/yr
Wildfire
Very Low $53K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Ice Storm High 0.82 / yr $312K
Landslide Low 1.65 / yr $2K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $53K
Heat Wave Low 15.56 / yr $249K
Tornado Low 0.49 / yr $697K
Riverine Flood Low 1.68 / yr $4M
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $128K
Strong Wind Low 3.94 / yr $275K
Lightning Low 64.95 / yr $110K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $20K
Winter Weather Low 5.41 / yr $27K
Hail Low 5.29 / yr $89K
Cold Wave Very Low 1.11 / yr $110K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 20.96 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Montgomery County?

Montgomery County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 30.7 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 31th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Montgomery County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Ice Storm (High, $312K EAL), Landslide (Low, $2K EAL), Wildfire (Very Low, $53K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Montgomery County compare to other Arkansas counties?

Montgomery County ranks #64 of 75 Arkansas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Montgomery County's $6M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.