Phillips County

Arkansas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

61.7

National percentile: 62th

Phillips County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 61.7, 62th national percentile), driven primarily by earthquake and tornado exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $14M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $14M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 17K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Earthquake
Medium $5M/yr
Tornado
Medium $2M/yr
Heat Wave
Low $706K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Earthquake Medium 0.00 / yr $5M
Tornado Medium 0.46 / yr $2M
Heat Wave Low 23.26 / yr $706K
Drought Medium 8.76 / yr $424K
Ice Storm Medium 0.81 / yr $142K
Strong Wind Medium 1.64 / yr $602K
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr $99K
Hail Low 2.71 / yr $190K
Landslide Very Low 0.23 / yr $1K
Cold Wave Low 1.21 / yr $568K
Riverine Flood Low 0.61 / yr $4M
Lightning Low 60.29 / yr $99K
Winter Weather Low 4.32 / yr $18K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $4K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Phillips County?

Phillips County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 61.7 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 62th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Phillips County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Earthquake (Medium, $5M EAL), Tornado (Medium, $2M EAL), Heat Wave (Low, $706K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Phillips County compare to other Arkansas counties?

Phillips County ranks #33 of 75 Arkansas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Phillips County's $14M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.