Scott County

Arkansas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

26.8

National percentile: 27th

Scott County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 26.8, 27th national percentile), driven primarily by ice storm and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $8M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $8M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 10K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Ice Storm
High $584K/yr
Wildfire
Low $124K/yr
Landslide
Very Low $2K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Ice Storm High 0.94 / yr $584K
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $124K
Landslide Very Low 1.28 / yr $2K
Heat Wave Low 15.38 / yr $320K
Riverine Flood Low 1.75 / yr $5M
Tornado Low 0.59 / yr $824K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $139K
Winter Weather Low 5.74 / yr $35K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $18K
Lightning Low 62.99 / yr $103K
Strong Wind Low 4.24 / yr $273K
Hail Very Low 5.65 / yr $94K
Cold Wave Low 1.11 / yr $324K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 21.52 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Scott County?

Scott County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 26.8 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 27th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Scott County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Ice Storm (High, $584K EAL), Wildfire (Low, $124K EAL), Landslide (Very Low, $2K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Scott County compare to other Arkansas counties?

Scott County ranks #69 of 75 Arkansas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Scott County's $8M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.