Madera County

California — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

High

Composite Risk Score

96.4

National percentile: 96th

Madera County faces high composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 96.4, 96th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $162M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $162M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 156K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Drought
Very High $63M/yr
Wildfire
High $23M/yr
Heat Wave
High $9M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought Very High 84.81 / yr $63M
Wildfire High 0.01 / yr $23M
Heat Wave High 6.60 / yr $9M
Landslide Medium 28.58 / yr $353K
Earthquake Medium 0.07 / yr $20M
Riverine Flood High 1.43 / yr $45M
Hail Medium 0.18 / yr $512K
Lightning Medium 15.59 / yr $382K
Winter Weather Medium 11.93 / yr $85K
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $33
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $107
Strong Wind Low 0.05 / yr $130K
Tornado Very Low 0.20 / yr $156K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Cold Wave Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Ice Storm Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Madera County?

Madera County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 96.4 out of 100, placing it in the High category and the 96th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Madera County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (Very High, $63M EAL), Wildfire (High, $23M EAL), Heat Wave (High, $9M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Madera County compare to other California counties?

Madera County ranks #26 of 58 California counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a high rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Madera County's $162M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.