Mendocino County

California — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

High

Composite Risk Score

94.3

National percentile: 94th

Mendocino County faces high composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 94.3, 94th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and earthquake exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $117M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $117M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 91K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Landslide
High $2M/yr
Earthquake
High $47M/yr
Wildfire
High $8M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide High 94.88 / yr $2M
Earthquake High 0.07 / yr $47M
Wildfire High 0.00 / yr $8M
Drought High 41.14 / yr $3M
Riverine Flood High 0.75 / yr $56M
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $199
Coastal Flood Low 3.23 / yr $196K
Heat Wave Low 4.06 / yr $312K
Tsunami Very Low 0.23 / yr $264K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $90
Lightning Low 5.32 / yr $79K
Winter Weather Very Low 6.77 / yr $15K
Tornado Very Low 0.10 / yr $54K
Hail Very Low 0.04 / yr $17K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.00 / yr $2K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Ice Storm Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Mendocino County?

Mendocino County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 94.3 out of 100, placing it in the High category and the 94th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Mendocino County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (High, $2M EAL), Earthquake (High, $47M EAL), Wildfire (High, $8M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Mendocino County compare to other California counties?

Mendocino County ranks #31 of 58 California counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a high rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Mendocino County's $117M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.