Butte County

California — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

93.9

National percentile: 94th

Butte County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 93.9, 94th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $127M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $127M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 211K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Drought
Very High $26M/yr
Wildfire
High $16M/yr
Landslide
Medium $388K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought Very High 66.57 / yr $26M
Wildfire High 0.00 / yr $16M
Landslide Medium 20.96 / yr $388K
Earthquake Medium 0.04 / yr $34M
Riverine Flood Medium 1.36 / yr $48M
Heat Wave Medium 6.93 / yr $1M
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $392
Lightning Medium 11.89 / yr $400K
Hail Low 0.11 / yr $121K
Tornado Low 0.15 / yr $389K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $76
Winter Weather Low 10.95 / yr $21K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.02 / yr $81K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Cold Wave Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Ice Storm Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Butte County?

Butte County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 93.9 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 94th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Butte County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (Very High, $26M EAL), Wildfire (High, $16M EAL), Landslide (Medium, $388K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Butte County compare to other California counties?

Butte County ranks #32 of 58 California counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Butte County's $127M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.